Part of: 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

29 smart money signals detected, totaling $206,666.

Categories: Politics, World, Elections, South Korea, Global Elections, World Elections, rewards 100, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

New wallet chasing breakout

A brand-new wallet with repeated large flagged bets helped chase a major Yes breakout alongside a large volume spike, though it has no resolved track record yet.

  • A 2-hour-old wallet has already had about $19.5K in flagged large bets, suggesting aggressive early conviction.
  • The market saw a 26x volume spike and Yes jumped more than 34 percentage points during the alert window.
  • Yes is already up to 87%, so this is momentum-driven rather than a proven sharp-wallet copy trade.

$3,088 on Yes

New wallet in Yes cluster

A 6-day-old repeat bettor is joining a 4-wallet one-sided Yes push on a high-volume Seoul mayoral market with sharp recent upward momentum.

  • Four wallets bought the same side, putting over $10k into Yes in the scan window.
  • This 6-day-old wallet has now placed $3.2k across flagged bets, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off trade.
  • Yes has jumped 36 points in a day, with a fresh volume spike and rapid price move supporting the direction.

$1,092 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes amid a major Seoul mayoral volume/price surge, though the position is already underwater versus current odds.

  • This bettor has traded across 90 events and is up about $50.9K lifetime over 865 resolved bets.
  • The market is seeing a 12x volume surge and Yes is up 38 points over the past day.
  • They bought Yes at 69¢, taking a pro-Oh Se-hoon position despite volatile price action.

$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

12-wallet one-sided surge

High-score political alert driven by a brand-new repeat bettor joining a 12-wallet one-sided Yes surge with major volume and price momentum.

  • 12 wallets bought the same side, totaling $41K in Yes bets.
  • This brand-new wallet has already triggered 5 large-bet alerts in under 2 hours.
  • Market volume spiked 31x and Yes moved from 63¢ to 77¢ after the flow.

$2,766 on Yes

12-wallet Yes surge

Strong one-sided coordinated flow: 12 wallets bought Yes into a major volume spike and 17-point price move on a political market.

  • 12 wallets all bought the same side, putting $41K behind Yes in the scan window.
  • The market saw a 31x volume spike and Yes jumped 17 points, suggesting momentum behind the move.
  • This new wallet bought at 71¢, below the current 77¢ odds, and is already in profit.

$2,180 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

7-wallet linked Yes cluster

High-conviction coordinated Yes flow with 7 wallets, linked funding, a 29.6x volume spike, and sharp intraday price momentum on a plausible political information market.

  • Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $36.9K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • Volume surged 29.6x above normal while Yes jumped about 36 percentage points in a day.
  • This bettor has a long record: 865 resolved trades, 57% winners, and about $50.9K lifetime profit.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

New whale coordinated NO flow

A 1-day-old repeat whale is part of coordinated NO buying on a high-volume Seoul mayoral market that has already moved sharply in their favor.

  • A 1-day-old wallet has already had 21 large-bet flags totaling $77k across 6 positions.
  • Three wallets bought the same NO side for $6.4k during a 27x volume spike.
  • This wallet entered NO at 33¢ and the market has already moved to 48¢.

$1,704 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Brand-new repeat buyer

A brand-new wallet is repeatedly buying Oh Se-hoon Yes into a sharp Seoul mayoral odds move, though it has no resolved track record yet.

  • This wallet was created less than an hour before trading and has already made 3 flagged bets totaling $4.3K.
  • The market has moved hard toward Yes, up about 31 points over 24 hours.
  • Their 70¢ entry is well above the current 52¢ price, so this is a conviction signal but not a proven sharp wallet.

$1,230 on Yes

Six-wallet Yes surge

Six wallets put $13.6k on Yes during a 32.5x volume spike, pushing the market up sharply despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Six wallets all moved the same way, putting $13.6k behind Oh Se-hoon winning.
  • The market saw a 32.5x volume spike and Yes jumped about 14 points in under 3 minutes.
  • Several traders converted No positions into Yes exposure, suggesting a coordinated shift in view.

$13,575 on Yes

New repeat whale buying Yes

A 9-day-old repeat whale has put over $83k into flagged bets and bought $12k of Oh Se-hoon Yes during a major volume spike, though the position is already well underwater.

  • A 9-day-old wallet has now made 18 large flagged bets totaling $83k.
  • This trade came during a 75x volume spike, suggesting a rush of attention into the market.
  • The bettor paid 64–71¢ for Yes, far above the current 39¢ price.

$12,017 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 69119940, $1,068,599
  2. 0xb1a5...815d Outcome 69119940, $232,605
  3. 0xc7f9...e37d Outcome 69119940, $134,954 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x10e9...33f3 Outcome 69119940, $121,985 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x9aeb...2f31 Outcome 22722140, $47,519 (45% win rate)
  6. 0xeae7...1884 Outcome 69119940, $28,017 (75% win rate)
  7. 0x7702...9791 Outcome 69119940, $23,347 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x9a1b...ee30 Outcome 69119940, $15,023
  9. 0xecaa...77a9 Outcome 69119940, $14,654 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x45e1...5934 Outcome 69119940, $12,667 (99% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency

Covers 2 related markets

Neither Chong nor Oh wins

Covers 2 related markets

SpaceX IPO pricing volatile

Covers 3 related markets

LeBron returns to Miami

Covers 4 related markets

Choo wins Daegu mayor race

Covers 2 related markets

No US-Iran peace deal

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Resolved2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner$206,666 tracked29 signalsPoliticsWorldElectionsSouth KoreaGlobal ElectionsWorld Electionsrewards 100, 4.5, 100

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

Notable Trades

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$3,088 on Yes at 71¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$1,092 on Yes at 63¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$1,100 on Yes at 69¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$2,766 on Yes at 63¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$2,180 on Yes at 71¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 64¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$1,704 on No at 33¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$1,230 on Yes at 70¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

45d ago

$13,575 on Yes at 30¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

45d ago

$12,017 on Yes at 69¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$11,506 on No at 13¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

45d ago

$13,672 on Yes at 64¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

45d ago

$3,438 on Yes at 59¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

45d ago

$19,520 on No at 50¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

44d ago

$24,690 on Yes at 64¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

45d ago

$2,797 on Yes at 21¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

47d ago

$5,280 on No at 88¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

47d ago

$35,237 on No at 86¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

47d ago

$2,077 on No at 83¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

49d ago

$1,409 on No at 81¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

54d ago

$4,296 on Yes at 30¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

58d ago

$2,607 on No at 74¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

60d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 29¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

62d ago

$4,100 on No at 82¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

64d ago

$4,050 on No at 81¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

64d ago

$5,740 on No at 82¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

65d ago

$7,163 on No at 81¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

65d ago

$7,760 on No at 80¢

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

66d ago

$8,572 on No at 85¢

Related Theses