Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format. Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar. A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar. Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,118.

Categories: OpenAI, Big Tech, AI, gpt, Tech

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys NO

Profitable high-volume trader bought No after a major price dislocation in a thin market, with the position already moving favorably from 41¢ to 47¢.

  • This trader has 1,103 resolved bets, wins 57%, and is up $131k lifetime.
  • They bought No at 41¢ after a sharp selloff, and it has already moved to 47¢.
  • The $1.1k buy is sizable for this thin market, equal to about one-third of listed liquidity.

$1,118 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc278...2d19 Yes, $7,733 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xb100...6461 No, $1,674 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x8030...7b74 No, $980
  4. 0xf27d...e6d3 No, $645
  5. 0x6183...3834 No, $615
  6. 0x1ee9...197f No, $565 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x3920...b83c No, $544
  8. 0x7842...4d91 No, $516
  9. 0xf903...e028 No, $363
  10. 0xc602...7fc1 No, $290 (39% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

238d$1,118 tracked1 signalOpenAIBig TechAIgptTech
Yes
54¢
No
47¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format. Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar. A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar. Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “Yes
90¢
53¢
17¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

2h ago

$1,118 on No at 41¢

41¢47¢6¢

Related Theses