Brazil Presidential Election
7 signals across 1 market · $30,474 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- New repeat whale buying YES
A 16-day-old repeat large bettor put $15k on Yes amid a major volume spike in a plausible political information market.
$15,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 7.2 - Repeat new-wallet whale
A 7-day-old wallet has already made six large flagged bets totaling over $15k and is now adding another $2.8k on a major politics market, suggesting repeat high-conviction positioning worth watching.
$2,791Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5 - Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
$1,233Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.5 - New repeat whale buying YES
A 10-day-old repeat large bettor is putting meaningful fresh money on Yes in a liquid Brazilian election market, but the wallet's track record is still very limited.
$6,500Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.5 - 83% win-rate politics bettor
A bettor with an 83% win rate and strong edge is starting a fresh position in a major politics market at 39¢, making this a follow-worthy sharp trade despite the modest size.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.0 - Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
$2,150Score: 3.5 - 88% win-rate election bettor
Surface this because a bettor with an 88% win rate is taking a fresh directional position across related Brazil election markets, even though the overall signal is modest.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8aa739…0d94$25,524 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xfd06c0…3b37$2,150 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xf81c45…ccea$1,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x5453e3…65ce$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins