Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,511.

Categories: Peru, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, Peru Election

Notable Trades

83% win-rate political bettor

A proven 83% win-rate political trader bought No at 79¢ in a relatively thin Peru election market, and the price has already moved to 90¢.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $302k across 59 settled markets
  • They bought No at 79¢ and the market is now 90¢, so the move already validated their entry
  • This wallet trades across 84 related markets and has put nearly $1.75M behind similar event-driven theses

$2,511 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $225,435
  2. 0x784f...5df9 Yes, $32,500 (87% win rate)
  3. 0xe372...eb38 Yes, $31,322
  4. 0x011f...1122 Yes, $25,586 (39% win rate)
  5. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $15,679
  6. 0xc1b3...501c Yes, $9,240 (41% win rate)
  7. 0xb6fa...abcf Yes, $8,870
  8. 0x7e35...1a6c Yes, $7,916
  9. 0x7664...2e50 Yes, $7,634 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x0999...dd96 Yes, $7,325 (34% win rate)

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Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Resolved$2,511 tracked1 signalPeruPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsPeru Election
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Price History — “No
102¢
95¢
87¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

6d ago

$2,511 on No at 79¢

79¢100¢21¢

Related Theses

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | PolySpotter