Part of: Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,511.

Categories: Peru, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, Peru Election

Notable Trades

83% win-rate political bettor

A proven 83% win-rate political trader bought No at 79¢ in a relatively thin Peru election market, and the price has already moved to 90¢.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $302k across 59 settled markets
  • They bought No at 79¢ and the market is now 90¢, so the move already validated their entry
  • This wallet trades across 84 related markets and has put nearly $1.75M behind similar event-driven theses

$2,511 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 11115959, $240,171
  2. 0x784f...5df9 Outcome 18022990, $37,650 (86% win rate)
  3. 0xe372...eb38 Outcome 18022990, $33,365
  4. 0xb6fa...abcf Outcome 18022990, $8,870
  5. 0x7664...2e50 Outcome 18022990, $7,634 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x0999...dd96 Outcome 18022990, $7,325 (34% win rate)
  7. 0x4c35...6f6c Outcome 18022990, $3,000
  8. 0x2d27...8cc0 Outcome 18022990, $2,372 (63% win rate)
  9. 0xe040...824f Outcome 18022990, $2,278
  10. 0x7b0f...145c Outcome 18022990, $2,030

Related Theses

Fujimori loses Peru election

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Iran peace deal by late May

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Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

ResolvedPeru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place$2,511 tracked1 signalPeruPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsPeru Election

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Price History — “No
102¢
100¢
98¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

52d ago

$2,511 on No at 79¢

Related Theses