Part of: Makerfield by-election Winner
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
This prediction market tracks whether Robert Kenyon will win the 2026 UK parliamentary by-election in Makerfield, expected after incumbent Josh Simons announced his resignation. The market resolves based on the officially reported winner of the Makerfield by-election, or to “Other” if results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,352 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,352.
Categories: Politics, Main Elections, Global Elections, UK Elections, UK, Main Election, Elections, Starmer
Notable Trades
Brand-new political bettor
A 6-hour-old wallet made a fresh $2.35k Yes bet on a relatively niche UK by-election market, with modest supporting momentum but no track record yet.
- A wallet created less than 7 hours ago put $2.35k on Yes in a niche UK by-election market.
- The bet is meaningful for this market, roughly 15% of the past day’s volume.
- Yes has ticked up 4 points today, so this trade is joining near-term momentum.
$2,352 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $28,921
- 0x3eac...4f7b — Yes, $11,253
- 0x8a4c...532b — No, $3,798 (52% win rate)
- 0x74f1...16a8 — Yes, $3,506 (73% win rate)
- 0xbc60...af79 — Yes, $3,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x09bb...f8b1 — No, $2,955 (56% win rate)
- 0xf769...0114 — Yes, $2,479 (79% win rate)
- 0xa8fe...3ee3 — Yes, $2,218 (60% win rate)
- 0x85b8...6b6a — Yes, $2,086 (64% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $1,739 (55% win rate)
