Makerfield by-election Winner
40 signals across 2 markets · $229,794 tracked · resolves Jun 18, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the expected 2026 Makerfield parliamentary by-election following Josh Simons’ announced resignation. Traders are currently focused on whether Andy Burnham will win, with PolySpotter highlighting a recent smart money signal from an 86% serial cross-market sharp.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- New whale caught 28¢ Yes
A very new repeat whale bought $16k of Yes at 28¢ before a sharp move to 72¢, with a 47x volume spike and partial hedging afterward.
$22,397Score: 10.7 - New repeat whale buying Yes
A 6-day-old wallet with 23 repeat large-bet flags is aggressively building a Yes position in a UK by-election market that has already moved 15 points this week.
$16,399Score: 10.1 - New whale fading favorite
A 6-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large political bets and is adding a $6.4k No position as the market moves against the favorite.
$6,391Score: 9.5 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought $10.3k of No during a major volume spike on this by-election market.
$10,303Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 8.6 - New whale on niche election
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor is aggressively buying Yes in a niche UK by-election market amid a 44.5x volume spike and sharp price move.
$12,696Score: 7.6 - New repeat political buyer
A 5-day-old wallet with 17 repeat large-bet flags is adding $4.8k to Yes in a niche UK by-election market with strong recent price momentum.
$12,929Score: 7.5 - Sharp funded cluster fades favorite
A profitable 96% win-rate wallet from a recurring 5-wallet funded cluster is fading the favorite, aligning with recent negative price momentum.
$9,065Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 7.3 - New whale buying Yes
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor built a $14K Yes position during a major volume spike and price breakout on a plausible information-sensitive UK by-election market.
$14,003Score: 6.9 - 4-day repeat whale
A 4-day-old wallet with 14 recent large-bet flags is buying into a fast-moving political market, suggesting repeat conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
$3,708Score: 6.5 - 4-day repeat whale
A 4-day-old wallet with 14 recent large-bet flags is buying into a fast-moving political market, suggesting repeat conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
$3,470Score: 6.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x1e05a2…11d6$154,046 · 2 markets · 24 alerts
- 0xecaa88…77a9$15,626 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xc6dd72…4b9f$11,406 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 69% wins
- 0x8ed2e5…3422$10,979 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xa2c908…2c23$10,956 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x398816…7a45$9,065 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x22e424…ef1c$8,436 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0x3eac2b…4f7b$2,352 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x154335…baaf$1,443 · 1 market · 1 alert · 36% wins
FAQs
What are the Makerfield by-election odds on Polymarket?
The event’s odds reflect market pricing on whether Andy Burnham wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how prediction-market sentiment is shifting.
Is Andy Burnham expected to win the Makerfield by-election?
Polymarket traders are pricing a dedicated market on Andy Burnham winning the by-election. The latest PolySpotter signal flagged activity from an 86% serial cross-market sharp, which may indicate informed interest in this outcome.
What does the smart money signal mean for this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,042 in smart money across this Makerfield event and one recent signal. The alert headline describes the trader as an 86% serial cross-market sharp, meaning they have a strong tracked history across markets.
When does the Makerfield by-election market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve based on the officially reported winner of the 2026 Makerfield parliamentary by-election. If the result is not definitively known by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other.”}]}೯Japgolly.TRAILING сапarams? No, final with json? The format in final is already JSON wrapper because response_format. It includes event_seo_content. Good. But maybe the final should be plain JSON object matching schema not with event_seo_content tag? The tool response format perhaps expects JSON. We've used structured. Good. However answer says