Cross-Market Thesis
“Cross-Market Thesis”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?, and 4 more are correlated outcomes, committing $13,795 to this thesis across 7 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0x6d9fc62% win rate
Total
$13,795
Markets
7
Positions
- 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1,360 @ 68¢
- 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$2,950 @ 70¢
- 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$2,380 @ 40¢
- 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$1,424 @ 73¢
- 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1,488 @ 15¢
- 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1,193 @ 72¢
- 7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3,000 @ 60¢