Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran ceasefire will not happen”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $31,571 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x6d9fc61% win rate

Total

$31,571

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
    $20,813 @ 88¢
  2. 2US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
    $6,959 @ 58¢
  3. 3US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
    $1,399 @ 46¢
  4. 4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
    $2,400 @ 80¢
US-Iran ceasefire will not happen — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter