Part of: US-Iran deal text released by...?

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,037.

Categories: Geopolitics, Peace Deal, U.S. x Iran, Iran, Politics

Notable Trades

88% winner buying contrarian No

Surfaced due to sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable 88% lifetime bettor bought No despite only a modest cross-market signal.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $116K lifetime.
  • They are taking the unpopular No side at 14¢ while the market prices Yes near 89%.
  • The wallet has also traded another market in the same event, suggesting a broader US-Iran agreement thesis.

$1,037 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0x34ab...3eb5 Outcome 34227094, $12,000 (36% win rate)
  2. 0x7164...64a7 Outcome 34227094, $4,458 (86% win rate)
  3. 0xbcf9...9b13 Outcome 34227094, $2,900
  4. 0xd426...334a Outcome 34227094, $2,472 (48% win rate)
  5. 0x4a2b...af20 Outcome 34227094, $2,000 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x7447...a16d Outcome 34227094, $1,000 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x62cf...5826 Outcome 34227094, $1,000 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x8c66...44f3 Outcome 34227094, $950 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x2fd5...afcf Outcome 34227094, $909
  10. 0xb698...976a Outcome 34227094, $525

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Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

ResolvedUS-Iran deal text released by...?$1,037 tracked1 signalGeopoliticsPeace DealU.S. x IranIranPolitics

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify. A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

52d ago

$1,037 on No at 14¢

Related Theses