Part of: Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,067.
Categories: Oil, Strait of Hormuz, Iran, Geopolitics, Naval, U.S. x Iran
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market winner buying NO
Serial cross-market trader with a 75% resolved-bet record bought No in a thin geopolitical market, and the position has already moved strongly in their favor.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $161k lifetime.
- They have traded across 94 events and 185 related markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Bought No at 63¢ in a quiet market, and the price has already moved to 72¢.
$1,067 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0xdbdf...bd98 — Outcome 73462649, $3,729
- 0x2ec7...ceb3 — Outcome 73462649, $2,338
- 0x416d...4320 — Outcome 73462649, $1,333
- 0x74bf...2a6e — Outcome 73462649, $1,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x386f...db83 — Outcome 73462649, $285
- 0xe3ae...217a — Outcome 73462649, $203
- 0x0f1e...461a — Outcome 73462649, $180
- 0xecb2...a30c — Outcome 73462649, $132
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 73462649, $120
- 0x49c5...b169 — Outcome 73462649, $93
Related Theses
Iran peace deal comes early
Covers 11 related markets
Hormuz blockade stays in place
Covers 5 related markets
No Iran deal by July
Covers 8 related markets
