Part of: US-Iran deal physically signed by...?

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

This prediction market asks whether the United States and Iran will both physically sign the diplomatic agreement announced on June 14, 2026, before the June 30 deadline. It resolves “Yes” only if both countries sign the announced agreement, including any publicly described later-modified version, by 11:59 PM ET on the resolution date. PolySpotter currently tracks $6,358 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. “Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed. The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,358.

Categories: U.S. x Iran, Peace Deal, Iran, Politics, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

Coordinated pre-news buyers

Three wallets bought Yes before a major 24-point move, with coordinated flow and cross-market positioning around a plausible diplomatic news event.

  • Three wallets bought Yes before the market jumped from around 70¢ to 98¢.
  • The one-sided cluster put $6.4k into the same outcome, helping drive a 24-point price move.
  • One wallet has a long profitable history, up $85.6k across more than 1,100 resolved bets.

$6,358 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa8f1...fee6 No, $18,045 (30% win rate)
  2. 0x000d...758e Yes, $11,763 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x4aa8...6531 Yes, $9,971 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x97cb...c910 No, $9,681 (21% win rate)
  5. 0x0778...4399 Yes, $8,972 (96% win rate)
  6. 0x2525...b919 No, $7,612 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x44c1...ebc1 Yes, $5,461 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x5715...1616 No, $4,259 (35% win rate)
  9. 0xfef4...29bd Yes, $3,984
  10. 0x5666...c630 Yes, $2,602

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

12dUS-Iran deal physically signed by...?$6,358 tracked1 signalU.S. x IranPeace DealIranPoliticsGeopolitics
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. “Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed. The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
68¢
35¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

2h ago

$6,358 on Yes at 70¢

70¢100¢30¢