US-Iran deal physically signed by...?
4 signals across 2 markets · $15,760 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether the written US-Iran diplomatic agreement announced on June 14, 2026 is physically signed by both countries by the June 19 deadline. PolySpotter has flagged sharp buying on a dip, suggesting some smart-money interest in the “Yes” side despite uncertainty around the signing ceremony.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Coordinated pre-news buyers
Three wallets bought Yes before a major 24-point move, with coordinated flow and cross-market positioning around a plausible diplomatic news event.
$6,358Score: 10.5 - 82% sharp buying dip
A highly profitable 82% win-rate wallet is buying Yes after a major price drop, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.
$1,114Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 9.6 - Sharp bettor fades signing
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 79% resolved win record is taking the contrarian No side ahead of a major US-Iran signing deadline, alongside a large pre-event volume spike.
$1,066Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 9.2 - Profitable cluster buying Yes
Three wallets, including a highly profitable 82% winner, bought Yes before a sharp move from 43–58¢ to 86¢ amid a 93x volume spike near the signing deadline.
$7,221Score: 6.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$1,114 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x2b670a…b814$1,066 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the odds the US-Iran deal is physically signed by June 19?
The event’s Polymarket odds reflect traders’ real-time view on whether both the United States and Iran physically sign the announced agreement by the deadline. Check the live market on PolySpotter for the latest implied probability and price movement.
What is the smart money doing on the US-Iran deal market?
PolySpotter tracked one smart-money signal totaling about $1,114, with an alert noting “82% sharp buying dip.” That suggests sharp traders bought after a price decline, indicating renewed interest in the deal being signed.
What does this Polymarket event cover?
This event covers the outcome of whether the US-Iran diplomatic agreement announced on June 14, 2026 is physically signed by both countries by June 19, 2026. The child market resolves Yes if the signing happens by the specified deadline, and No otherwise.
When does the US-Iran deal signing market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the relevant deadline, with the event listed as resolving by June 30, 2026. Resolution depends on whether credible evidence confirms both countries physically signed the agreement by June 19 at 11:59 PM ET.