Part of: What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

This prediction market tracks whether the acting White House Press Secretary will say “thing” at least 10 times during the next White House press briefing they participate in. PolySpotter currently shows $3,118 in tracked smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market, with resolution tied to that next briefing and a listed resolution date of May 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If no such press briefing happens by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,118.

Categories: Politics, Mentions, rubio, Trump

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor on thin market

Profitable 79% winner made a $3.1k contrarian No bet that dwarfs this thin market’s daily volume.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $17.2k lifetime.
  • Their $3.1k No buy was about 3x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • They bought No at an average around 34¢ while the market now prices it near 18¢.

$3,118 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbd04...fbb0 No, $10,000 (79% win rate)
  2. 0x2970...e1c9 Yes, $9,990 (23% win rate)
  3. 0x3d4d...232d No, $97
  4. 0xd8b2...49fe Yes, $59
  5. 0x0816...377a Yes, $20
  6. 0xad53...ef24 Yes, $17
  7. 0x9f33...da59 No, $16
  8. 0x8a4e...b38c Yes, $11
  9. 0x36d9...eae4 No, $11
  10. 0xf2cf...464b Yes, $9

Related Theses

Iran will close airspace

Covers 2 related markets

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Yes
66¢
No
34¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If no such press briefing happens by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.

Price History — “Yes
76¢
53¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

1d ago

$3,118 on No at 34¢

34¢34¢

Related Theses