Part of: Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?

Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for October 31, 2026. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Bab El-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c, both in the chart and through downloadable files. Where an unrounded and rounded value provided by the resolution source differ with respect to the resolution of this market, the unrounded value will be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,265.

Categories: Oil, Iran, Hormuz, Houthis, Geopolitics, Bab el-Mandeb, Strait of Hormuz

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor adds to No

A profitable bettor with an 82% win rate across 77 resolved markets is adding to an existing No position, with serial cross-market activity and a substantial trade relative to daily volume.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 77 resolved markets and is up $90,646.
  • They added $2,265 to an existing No position at 76¢; the trade is a sizable share of daily volume.

$2,265 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

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Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?$2,265 tracked1 signalOilIranHormuzHouthisGeopoliticsBab el-MandebStrait of Hormuz
Yes
40¢
No
60¢

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for October 31, 2026. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Bab El-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c, both in the chart and through downloadable files. Where an unrounded and rounded value provided by the resolution source differ with respect to the resolution of this market, the unrounded value will be used.

Price History — “No”
88¢
73¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

2026-10-22 19:38 UTC

$2,265 on No at 76¢

76¢→60¢↓16¢

Related Theses