Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,203.

Categories: Elections, Magyar, Hungary Election, Politics, Fidesz, Orban, Global Elections, World Elections, Hungary, Rewards 300 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Sharp election range buyer

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $3.2M P&L bought into a fast-moving Hungarian election range market at 80¢ after a sharp repricing.

  • This bettor wins 75% of 1,009 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
  • They trade across related markets with a strong record: 78 events, 112 markets, and $1.3M tracked in cross-market bets.
  • They bought Yes at 80¢ after a 25.5-point price swing in minutes, showing conviction in a fast-moving election market.

$1,203 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $13,362
  2. 0x6519...611b Yes, $5,826
  3. 0x0189...cab8 Yes, $5,413
  4. 0x88b5...205c Yes, $4,053 (37% win rate)
  5. 0xc4fd...fe19 No, $3,242 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x15f7...a018 Yes, $2,222 (63% win rate)
  7. 0x45b2...cbc1 No, $1,500
  8. 0xe8d5...1cae Yes, $1,197
  9. 0x7664...2e50 No, $1,177
  10. 0xd215...b4ee Yes, $1,167

Related Theses

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Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Resolved$1,203 tracked1 signalElectionsMagyarHungary ElectionPoliticsFideszOrbanGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsHungaryRewards 300 4.5 50
Yes
97¢
No
3¢

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

Price History — “Yes
99¢
60¢
21¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

21h ago

$1,203 on Yes at 80¢

80¢97¢17¢

Related Theses