Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
8 signals across 2 markets · $30,193 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp trio buying No
Three wallets piled into the No side during a sharp volume and price swing, including one serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $3.2M profit, making this coordinated political flow worth watching.
$8,546Score: 14.4 - 4-wallet NO cluster
Four wallets piled into No as volume exploded and price swung hard, including one trader with a 75% win rate and $3.2M profit plus another with $731k profit across 835 resolved bets.
$12,551Score: 11.9 - Sharp election range buyer
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $3.2M P&L bought into a fast-moving Hungarian election range market at 80¢ after a sharp repricing.
$1,203Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 9.6 - Profitable new wallet pressing No
An 8-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early profits, and six prior flags added another sizable position on No in a medium-liquidity political market.
$1,229Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 6.0 - New wallet fading rally
A very new wallet made a sizable bearish trade into a fast-moving election market just as volume surged and the Yes price broke sharply lower.
$1,800Score: 5.3 - 75% win-rate political bettor
A highly profitable 75% win-rate political trader bought No at 27¢ into a sharp price move, suggesting a deliberate cross-market thesis rather than routine flow.
$1,685Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.3 - Sharp cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate bought No at 39¢ in a fast-rising Hungarian election market, making this a credible thesis trade worth following.
$1,153Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - Profitable political grinder
A highly active bettor with a 75% win rate and $3.2M profit is taking a fresh position on No in a major political market, making this worth following despite only one signal.
$2,026Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf2f6af…5817$6,067 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 75% wins
- 0xa054a9…a95d$1,800 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xc4fd6e…fe19$1,229 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins