Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
8 signals across 2 markets · $30,193 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks where TISZA’s popular vote share may land in Hungary’s 2026 parliamentary election, based on national party list votes. Traders are pricing outcomes around whether TISZA finishes in the 50-54% range or breaks above 54%, with PolySpotter tracking over $30K in smart-money activity and recent sharp No-side clusters fading higher ranges.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp trio buying No
Three wallets piled into the No side during a sharp volume and price swing, including one serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $3.2M profit, making this coordinated political flow worth watching.
$8,546Score: 14.4 - 4-wallet NO cluster
Four wallets piled into No as volume exploded and price swung hard, including one trader with a 75% win rate and $3.2M profit plus another with $731k profit across 835 resolved bets.
$12,551Score: 11.9 - Sharp election range buyer
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $3.2M P&L bought into a fast-moving Hungarian election range market at 80¢ after a sharp repricing.
$1,203Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 9.6 - Profitable new wallet pressing No
An 8-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early profits, and six prior flags added another sizable position on No in a medium-liquidity political market.
$1,229Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.0 - New wallet fading rally
A very new wallet made a sizable bearish trade into a fast-moving election market just as volume surged and the Yes price broke sharply lower.
$1,800Score: 5.3 - 75% win-rate political bettor
A highly profitable 75% win-rate political trader bought No at 27¢ into a sharp price move, suggesting a deliberate cross-market thesis rather than routine flow.
$1,685Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.3 - Sharp cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate bought No at 39¢ in a fast-rising Hungarian election market, making this a credible thesis trade worth following.
$1,153Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - Profitable political grinder
A highly active bettor with a 75% win rate and $3.2M profit is taking a fresh position on No in a major political market, making this worth following despite only one signal.
$2,026Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf2f6af…5817$6,067 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 75% wins
- 0xa054a9…a95d$1,800 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xc4fd6e…fe19$1,229 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for TISZA’s 2026 Hungary election vote share?
This event groups the main TISZA national list vote-share ranges being traded on Polymarket, including 50-54% and 54%+. The live odds reflect how traders are pricing TISZA’s final share of valid national party list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election.
What is the smart money doing on the TISZA vote share markets?
PolySpotter has tracked about $30,193 in smart-money activity across this event. Recent alerts include a sharp trio buying No, a 4-wallet No cluster, and a profitable new wallet pressing No, suggesting notable resistance to some higher TISZA vote-share outcomes.
What does this Hungary election prediction market resolve on?
The event resolves based on TISZA’s percentage of all valid national party list votes in Hungary’s 2026 parliamentary election. It does not resolve on single-member constituency votes, seats won, or overall control of parliament.
When will the TISZA popular vote share market resolve?
The market is scheduled around Hungary’s parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, and should resolve once reliable official results for the national party list vote share are available.
Why are traders watching the 50-54% and 54%+ TISZA ranges?
Those ranges represent bullish scenarios for TISZA’s national list performance. Because recent smart-money alerts show multiple wallets fading rallies or buying No, traders are watching whether the market continues to reject the highest vote-share bands.