Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
2 signals across 1 market · $6,174 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether Donald Trump, the U.S. government, or the U.S. military will announce a restart of Project Freedom by May 31. Traders are weighing geopolitical risk in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S.-Iran tensions, and whether any new escort mission would qualify as a restart or equivalent initiative. PolySpotter has flagged a recent smart money signal: a proven sharp bought Yes.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven sharp bought Yes
A proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate bought $4,000 of Yes at 36¢ before the market moved sharply higher.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.0 - Sharp bettor fading Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with 82% historical wins and +$34.9k P&L is effectively buying No on this market by selling Yes at 42¢.
$2,174Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf20ab3…642f$6,174 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Trump restarts Project Freedom by May 31?
The live odds are set by Polymarket traders buying and selling the Yes and No outcomes. This event page tracks the market as expectations shift around U.S. policy, Iran tensions, and Strait of Hormuz security.
What does this Polymarket event resolve on?
It resolves to Yes if Donald Trump, the U.S. government, or the U.S. military announces by the deadline that Project Freedom will be restarted, or announces a substantially equivalent U.S.-led ship escort initiative through the Strait of Hormuz. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,000 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent signal where a proven sharp bought Yes. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it suggests at least one experienced trader saw value on the Yes side.
Why does this market matter?
Project Freedom relates to military escorts for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a strategically important oil and trade chokepoint. Any restart could signal a major shift in U.S. posture toward Iran and regional maritime security.
When will the Trump Project Freedom market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the May 31 deadline, with resolution based on whether a qualifying announcement is made by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.