Part of: Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
21 smart money signals detected, totaling $82,832.
Categories: Strait of Hormuz, Politics, Geopolitics, Trump, Iran, U.S. x Iran
Notable Trades
Unbeaten new wallet buys YES
New profitable wallet with an 8-0 resolved record is effectively buying Yes into a major volume spike and recent upward price move.
- This newer bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved markets and already up $478.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 12¢, taking the contrarian side against a 90¢ No market.
- Market volume is running 243x above normal, and Yes is up 8 points in the last day.
$1,676 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
86% winner re-enters No
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No after a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $56K lifetime across over $12.7M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 232 markets with a strong historical hit rate.
- They bought No at 87¢ and the market has already moved to about 90¢, supporting the direction.
$1,241 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved sample is fading the recent move by buying No as market volume spikes.
- This bettor has 918 resolved trades, wins 68% of them, and is up about $146,579 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 31 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Market volume is 34.8x above normal, and they bought No at 88¢ despite recent movement toward Yes.
$2,571 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long record is buying No against a recent Yes rally on a geopolitical market.
- This bettor has a long record: 74% wins across 1,195 resolved bets and +$165.7k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 203 markets and 100 events with $658.7k tracked in this pattern.
- The $2.5k No buy fades a sharp Yes move today, suggesting they see the recent rally as overdone.
$2,483 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a fresh No position during a major volume spike on a geopolitics market.
- This bettor is up about $266K lifetime across 1,059 resolved bets.
- They are a serial event trader, with $1.49M bet across 55 events and 86 markets.
- Market activity is unusually hot, with volume running 47x above its historical average.
$3,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
81% winner buying NO
Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No into a major volume spike and strong No-side price move.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $2.4M lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader, with $5.2M deployed across 211 markets.
- No has moved sharply with a 71x volume spike, and this wallet entered at 70¢ before it rose to 74¢.
$3,392 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
82% sharp No buyer
Proven profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is buying No amid a major volume spike and strong cross-market trading history.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $510K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 131 markets with nearly $2.0M in tracked activity.
- Market activity spiked 71x versus normal volume, and this wallet bought $4K of No at 80¢.
$4,044 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial cross-market sharp
A profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a 75% resolved win rate bought No amid a major volume spike and sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $226k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 84 events with $7.25M total traded.
- They bought No at 80¢, while the market is now around 74¢, offering a cheaper entry than their fill.
$3,984 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial trader fading move
Experienced profitable cross-market trader is buying No during a major volume-and-price move, though sizing is modest and the market is liquid.
- This bettor has traded across 107 markets, with $147k lifetime profit on $13.8M invested.
- The market just saw a 71x volume spike and a roughly 23-point price move, suggesting fresh momentum around the event.
- They bought No at 77¢, implying they are fading the recent Yes rally despite heavy activity.
$1,267 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
78% winner leads No surge
High-conviction No flow led by a proven 78% winner, with 9-wallet one-sided buying, an 89x volume spike, and a large move in the same direction.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $382K lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought No for $14.4K as market volume spiked 89x above normal.
- They entered No at 34¢ before it jumped to 67¢, so the signal is strong but already moved sharply.
$1,447 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x682e...70bd — Outcome 57222624, $25,954 (67% win rate)
- 0x80a0...5708 — Outcome 57222624, $18,625 (39% win rate)
- 0xcc26...32ca — Outcome 57222624, $15,400 (42% win rate)
- 0x3c59...1766 — Outcome 57222624, $5,786 (72% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 57222624, $5,152 (79% win rate)
- 0xcacc...2eac — Outcome 57222624, $3,612
- 0x6139...6b7a — Outcome 57222624, $3,572 (71% win rate)
- 0xdf90...41f0 — Outcome 57222624, $3,565 (50% win rate)
- 0x3e59...b2be — Outcome 57222624, $3,481
- 0xa2cb...6dc4 — Outcome 57222624, $3,000 (77% win rate)
