Part of: What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?

Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,727.

Categories: Trump, Culture, Mentions, Politics, Trump Speech

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 143 resolved bets is making a substantial fresh purchase in a thin market at near-even odds.

This bettor wins 71% of 143 resolved bets and is up over $500,000 lifetime.
They placed a fresh $1,287 Yes bet at 51¢, representing about 20% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
The thin $1,358-liquidity market and serial activity across 85 markets make this a notable directional position.

$2,017 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 143 resolved bets is making a substantial fresh purchase in a thin market at near-even odds.

This bettor wins 71% of 143 resolved bets and is up over $500,000 lifetime.
They placed a fresh $1,287 Yes bet at 51¢, representing about 20% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
The thin $1,358-liquidity market and serial activity across 85 markets make this a notable directional position.

$1,384 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 143 resolved bets is making a substantial fresh purchase in a thin market at near-even odds.

This bettor wins 71% of 143 resolved bets and is up over $500,000 lifetime.
They placed a fresh $1,287 Yes bet at 51¢, representing about 20% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
The thin $1,358-liquidity market and serial activity across 85 markets make this a notable directional position.

$1,039 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 143 resolved bets is making a substantial fresh purchase in a thin market at near-even odds.

This bettor wins 71% of 143 resolved bets and is up over $500,000 lifetime.
They placed a fresh $1,287 Yes bet at 51¢, representing about 20% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
The thin $1,358-liquidity market and serial activity across 85 markets make this a notable directional position.

$1,287 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 29496467, $1,600 (49% win rate)
0x9352...2227 — Outcome 29496467, $1,052 (64% win rate)
0x0b97...0efe — Outcome 29496467, $1,026
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 29496467, $910
0xefde...783d — Outcome 29496467, $721 (51% win rate)
0x72f7...92f7 — Outcome 29496467, $651 (40% win rate)
0xf658...dcfe — Outcome 29496467, $355 (92% win rate)
0xef62...0179 — Outcome 29496467, $300 (70% win rate)
0x64b4...b21e — Outcome 29496467, $225 (70% win rate)
0xc78e...4718 — Outcome 29496467, $200 (40% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran blockade ends in September, not August

Covers 5 related markets

Temporary ceasefire by July 31

Covers 4 related markets

Hormuz blockade stays in place

Covers 3 related markets

Ceasefire briefly extends into August

Covers 4 related markets

Iran closes airspace imminently

Covers 5 related markets

Israel airspace closes June 8-9

Covers 8 related markets

Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?

ResolvedWhat will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?$5,727 tracked4 signalsTrumpCultureMentionsPoliticsTrump Speech

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "White House Correspondents Dinner" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Price History — “No”

59¢

49¢

39¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction