Part of: Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $32,100.

Categories: Trump Presidency, Trump, Politics, China, TikTok, World, Trump-Xi, Trade War, Tariffs

Notable Trades

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

A proven high-volume trader with a 75% win rate is making a large cross-market political bet, buying No at 70¢ as event-wide volume surges.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 241 markets and is up about $118k lifetime
  • They put $32.1k into No at 70¢ while trading 3 related markets in the same event for $71.7k total
  • Volume in this market spiked about 1,011x versus its normal pace, pointing to informed positioning around the event

$32,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc6bd...6a35 Outcome 44446804, $1,448,009
  2. 0x4a2b...af20 Outcome 44446804, $60,000 (38% win rate)
  3. 0x3e8f...e1eb Outcome 44446804, $43,288
  4. 0x9d84...1344 Outcome 44446804, $40,976 (39% win rate)
  5. 0x89dc...31fc Outcome 44446804, $26,230
  6. 0x2207...247a Outcome 44446804, $22,411
  7. 0x8693...31cd Outcome 44446804, $20,705
  8. 0x4a41...242a Outcome 44446804, $20,337 (54% win rate)
  9. 0xa57d...ba16 Outcome 44446804, $15,408
  10. 0x21ff...5e2a Outcome 44446804, $14,027 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

ResolvedWill Trump visit China by...?$32,100 tracked1 signalTrump PresidencyTrumpPoliticsChinaTikTokWorldTrump-XiTrade WarTariffs

Notable Trades

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

46d ago

$32,100 on No at 70¢

Related Theses