Part of: Will Trump visit China by...?
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $32,100.
Categories: Trump Presidency, Trump, Politics, China, TikTok, World, Trump-Xi, Trade War, Tariffs
Notable Trades
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
A proven high-volume trader with a 75% win rate is making a large cross-market political bet, buying No at 70¢ as event-wide volume surges.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 241 markets and is up about $118k lifetime
- They put $32.1k into No at 70¢ while trading 3 related markets in the same event for $71.7k total
- Volume in this market spiked about 1,011x versus its normal pace, pointing to informed positioning around the event
$32,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
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