What would make this market resolve to Yes?

The market resolves to “Yes” if the United Arab Emirates government, or an entity officially authorized to make the decision, clearly states that the UAE has decided to withdraw from the GCC.

When does the UAE GCC withdrawal market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve at the end of 2026, with the listed resolution date of Dec. 31, 2026. If no qualifying withdrawal announcement is made by the deadline, it resolves to “No.”

How much smart money is being tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $2,440 in smart money activity on this market, with 1 recorded smart money signal.

Why are traders watching whether the UAE could leave the GCC?

A UAE withdrawal from the GCC would be a major geopolitical development in the Middle East, with potential implications for regional diplomacy, economic coordination, security policy, and energy markets.

Part of: Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Q: What is the UAE leave the GCC in 2026 prediction market about?

This market asks whether the UAE will officially announce or formally communicate a decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council between market creation and the resolution deadline at the end of 2026.

This prediction market tracks whether the United Arab Emirates will officially announce or formally communicate a decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council before the end of 2026. It resolves to “Yes” only if an authorized UAE government source clearly indicates withdrawal; otherwise it resolves to “No” on Dec. 31, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,440 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,440.

Categories: UAE, Middle East, GCC, Geopolitics, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought a meaningful No position in a quiet geopolitical market, with the order far larger than recent baseline volume.

This bettor is up $1.6M across 904 resolved bets and wins 63% of them.
They bought $2.4K of No at 81¢ in a quiet market, over 30x the recent 24h volume baseline.
This wallet has traded across 72 markets and 47 events, suggesting a repeat research-driven strategy.

$2,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%