Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,440.

Categories: UAE, Middle East, GCC, Geopolitics, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought a meaningful No position in a quiet geopolitical market, with the order far larger than recent baseline volume.

  • This bettor is up $1.6M across 904 resolved bets and wins 63% of them.
  • They bought $2.4K of No at 81¢ in a quiet market, over 30x the recent 24h volume baseline.
  • This wallet has traded across 72 markets and 47 events, suggesting a repeat research-driven strategy.

$2,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc93b...665b Yes, $4,125 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xbaa2...2c73 No, $3,089 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xd054...7e38 No, $400 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x633f...3c8a No, $250
  5. 0xac4a...bf1e No, $227
  6. 0x90f7...2501 No, $206 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x975b...149b No, $100
  8. 0x2f5e...75a4 Yes, $86
  9. 0x6b17...ba2e No, $75
  10. 0xad53...ef24 Yes, $50

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

240d$2,440 tracked1 signalUAEMiddle EastGCCGeopoliticsOil
Yes
20¢
No
81¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
91¢
79¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

3h ago

$2,440 on No at 81¢

81¢81¢

Related Theses

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | PolySpotter