Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $17,100.
Notable Trades
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
A 5-day-old wallet has already made four large bets and just put $17.1k into NO at 86¢ on a major geopolitical market, suggesting repeat high-conviction positioning worth watching despite limited track record.
- A 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with $42.8k flagged total
- This is a fresh $17.1k buy on NO at 86¢ in a major geopolitical market with deep liquidity
- The wallet is only 2-for-2 so far, so this stands out more for repeat conviction than proven skill
$17,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x2c69...1019 — No, $34,496
- 0xa30e...49d5 — No, $19,831 (100% win rate)
- 0x80c0...ed95 — Yes, $10,898
- 0x3a86...dea8 — No, $7,997
- 0x8fd8...8e08 — Yes, $7,990
- 0x9178...a2b2 — Yes, $6,075
- 0xc722...1334 — Yes, $4,345
- 0xa416...025e — Yes, $4,324 (48% win rate)
- 0x9507...7b04 — No, $3,975
- 0xa58d...b9b8 — Yes, $3,572
