Cross-Market Thesis

Iran talks occur in late July

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $7,874 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x4478d60% win rate

Total

$7,874

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
    $1,120 @ 56¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
    $1,149 @ 64¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
    $1,497 @ 87¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
    $1,318 @ 33¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
    $2,790 @ 80¢
Iran talks occur in late July — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter