8-wallet geopolitics pile-in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Eight wallets with generally strong profitable histories piled into No for over $20.7k across this geopolitics market as volume exploded and the price moved sharply, signaling coordinated conviction worth watching.
Total
$20,731
Trades
8
Analysis
- Eight wallets bet the same way in minutes, putting $20.7k on No as the market jumped 16.5 points.
- Several of these wallets have strong records, including bettors winning 82%, 87%, and 74% of resolved trades.
- The market saw a 26.9x volume spike, and entries from 63¢ to 79¢ suggest they were comfortable buying even after the move.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 74¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 8:03 PM