Smart Money SignalScore: 6.0
Proven political sharp
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable serial political trader with a 77% win rate and nearly $1.9M in profits is taking a fresh cross-market position on Vance by effectively buying Yes at 39¢.
Total
$1,063
Trades
1
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$2,148,581
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up about $1.9M lifetime.
- They trade across 56 events and 66 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- This sale of No at 61¢ is effectively a buy of Yes at 39¢, a price that leaves meaningful upside if their view is right.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 39¢
Detected April 22, 2026 at 10:44 PM