Coordinated FlowScore: 21.1

6-wallet sharp No cluster

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Six wallets with strong cross-market histories and several strong win rates converged on No around 20¢, while multiple traders actively flipped out of prior Yes positions into the same thesis.

Total

$17,819

Trades

7

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 20¢

PoliticsIran CeasefireIranVanceTrumpU.S. x IranGeopolitics
View all alerts for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Detected April 24, 2026 at 9:08 PM

6-wallet sharp No cluster | PolySpotter