Serial trader flips to NO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Serial cross-market trader with positive history is adding a fresh No position after previously closing a large Yes position, alongside $106k of related event exposure.
Total
$1,757
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$37,251
Analysis
- This bettor has a 62% hit rate across 37 resolved markets and is up about $56.8k lifetime.
- They have traded 60 markets across 34 events, including $106.8k across 6 markets tied to this event.
- They previously closed a much larger Yes position here and is now buying No at 48¢ as the market has moved toward No over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 48¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 7:26 AM