84% winner buying YES

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Proven profitable cross-market trader with an 84% resolved win record is buying Yes after previously closing a No position, while also positioning across related Iran-operation markets.
Total
$1,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$409,955
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $410K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.3M deployed across 91 related-event markets.
- This looks like a fresh Yes lean after closing a prior No position on this market.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 25¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 11:54 PM