81% cross-market bettor buying YES

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven 81% win-rate cross-market trader is buying Yes as part of a much larger $95.6k thesis across seven related markets.
Total
$6,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$57,087
Analysis
- This bettor has won 81% of 264 resolved trades and is up $57k lifetime.
- They have put $95.6k across 7 related Iran-operation markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 47¢ comes after Yes fell 16% this week, so they are buying into weakness.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 47¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 1:07 AM