Sharp cross-market trader buying Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Strong Yes signal from a proven 74% win-rate cross-market trader, plus 13 wallets buying the same side amid a major volume spike and sharp price move.
Total
$1,737
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$228,299
Analysis
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved bets and is up $221K lifetime across $23.8M traded.
- They are positioned across 6 related markets with $84.8K in exposure, pointing to a broader Iran-operation thesis.
- 13 wallets bought the same Yes side for $61K as market volume spiked 63x and Yes jumped 34% in a day.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 43¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 6:51 PM