Smart Money SignalScore: 16.8

Serial trader led Yes surge

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Strong Yes flow from a serial cross-market trader plus 13-wallet one-sided buying and a 63x volume spike, though the best entry has already moved sharply from 32¢ to 60¢.

Total

$4,963

Trades

1

Win Rate

64%

Wallet P&L

+$82,978

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 32¢

PoliticsMiddle EastGeopoliticsTrumpIranUS-IranU.S. x IranIran Ceasefire
View all alerts for Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Detected May 1, 2026 at 6:51 PM

Serial trader led Yes surge | PolySpotter