11-wallet linked No cluster
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
High-conviction coordinated No flow from 11 wallets, including linked funding and several profitable serial cross-market bettors, though much of the flow may be Yes profit-taking rather than fresh No buying.
Total
$66,776
Trades
23
Analysis
- 11 wallets put $66.8k toward No, including linked wallets moving in the same direction.
- Several bettors have strong histories, including wallets up $1.55M, $255k, and $223k lifetime.
- No now trades near 6¢ after this cluster paid much higher prices, giving a cheaper entry than the original flow.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 6¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 7:19 PM