Profitable serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate bought $7.5k of No while also positioning across a related market.
Total
$7,477
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$228,299
Analysis
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $227k lifetime.
- They have traded across 80 events and are now putting $11.4k into related markets here.
- The $7.5k No buy at 71¢ implies they see the current 70% No price as still attractive.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 71¢
Detected May 6, 2026 at 3:10 PM