Profitable serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with $1.6M lifetime P&L is adding a $7.8k No bet as part of an $80k related-event position.
Total
$7,780
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$1,611,353
Analysis
- This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up $1.6M lifetime.
- They have traded 75 markets across 48 events, with $80.7k positioned across two related markets here.
- Buying No at 71¢ suggests a confident view that the US will not obtain Iranian enriched uranium by the deadline.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 71¢
Detected May 6, 2026 at 3:31 PM