Sharp cluster buying longshot Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three experienced cross-market bettors, including a 90% winner and a $1.8M-profit wallet, are all positioning Yes on a geopolitical uranium market at roughly 11–12¢.
Total
$7,290
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three proven bettors are all taking the same side, including one who wins 90% of resolved bets.
- One wallet has made $1.8M lifetime and is buying Yes at 12¢ on this market.
- The No sale converts to a Yes buy around 11¢, making the cluster’s effective entry about 11–12¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 12¢
Detected May 10, 2026 at 6:36 PM