Profitable cross-market whale

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes amid a major volume spike on a geopolitically sensitive market.
Total
$8,261
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$1,033,621
Analysis
- This bettor has won 64% of 926 resolved trades and is up $1.56M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $4.4M deployed across 55 events and 92 markets.
- Market activity spiked 379x versus normal volume, suggesting fresh positioning around this thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 22¢
Detected May 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM