14-wallet funded cluster
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A large linked-wallet cluster is rotating into No on a major geopolitical market, with 4 coordinated wallets and one profitable high-volume bettor despite mixed individual wallet quality.
Total
$12,155
Trades
4
Analysis
- Four linked wallets put $12.2k on No within minutes, and the broader funder cluster spans 14 wallets across prior alerts.
- One wallet in the group has 809 resolved bets and is up $309k, giving this coordinated move more weight than a random whale trade.
- Two wallets were selling prior Yes positions, which converts to buying No around 71¢ and reinforces the same bearish view.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 70¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 7:48 PM