Profitable serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a large resolved history is buying Yes into strong recent momentum on a geopolitical market.
Total
$1,080
Trades
1
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
+$56,433
Analysis
- This bettor has won 64% of 1,626 resolved trades and is up $242,871 lifetime.
- They have traded across 387 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Yes has jumped 29 percentage points in the past day, and this trade follows that momentum at 60¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 60¢
Detected June 12, 2026 at 10:48 AM