Coordinated FlowScore: 10.9

4-wallet No pile-in

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Four wallets piled into No as the market sharply repriced, with one very new wallet joining a coordinated move that pushed Yes down nearly 30 points.

Total

$5,756

Trades

4

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 51¢

Foreign PolicyIranGeopoliticsVanceIran CeasefirePoliticsTrump
View all alerts for JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Detected April 8, 2026 at 3:34 PM

4-wallet No pile-in | PolySpotter