84% win-rate serial trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A proven 84% win-rate trader with broad cross-market activity sold No here, which translates to a Yes buy around 34¢ as the market is already moving sharply higher.
Total
$1,450
Trades
1
Win Rate
87%
Wallet P&L
+$30,442
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 43 markets and has traded nearly $249k across 25 events
- Their sell of No at 66¢ converts to buying Yes around 34¢, while Yes is already up 28 points in the last day
- The market has strong recent flow with $337k of 24h volume, so this looks like a sharp trader joining real momentum rather than random activity
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 34¢
Detected April 8, 2026 at 6:21 PM