Smart Money SignalScore: 6.5
New whale repeating big bets
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A 2-day-old wallet has already made nearly $19k of repeated large political bets and is now buying J.D. Vance Yes at 42¢, which looks like fresh conviction rather than routine flow.
Total
$3,304
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- A 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling about $19k
- This is a fresh $3.3k buy on Vance at 42¢, implying they see the nomination chances as meaningfully higher
- The trade is in a major, liquid political market, so repeated sizing from a brand-new wallet stands out more than a random punt
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 42¢
Detected April 12, 2026 at 5:27 AM