Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A proven high-volume cross-market bettor with nearly $1M in profit bought Yes at 44¢ in a geopolitical market that has already moved up to 48%, making this a worthwhile directional signal despite the modest size.
Total
$2,469
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$1,608,219
Analysis
- This bettor has won 561 of 876 resolved trades and is up about $954k lifetime.
- They trade across 40 markets in 29 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
- Bought Yes at 44¢ and the market is already up to 48%, while 24h volume was only about $5k.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 44¢
Detected April 13, 2026 at 8:28 PM