Smart Money SignalScore: 4.5

Repeat new wallet buyer

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

A 12-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed meaningful size across positions and just bought Yes at 23¢ in a politically relevant market that has already moved up, making it a plausible informed-conviction new wallet despite limited resolved history.

Total

$1,000

Trades

1

Win Rate

100%

Wallet P&L

+$60,943

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 23¢

PoliticsKushnerVanceWitkoffrubioGeopoliticsIranIran CeasefireTrumpU.S. x IranDiplomatic meeting
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Detected April 17, 2026 at 7:47 PM

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