Repeat new whale on No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
A repeat new wallet is deploying meaningful size across related Israel-Iran markets, and this fresh $10.8k buy on No suggests concentrated conviction despite only limited history.
Total
$10,832
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$10,633
Analysis
- An 8-day-old wallet has already made $33.2k of flagged bets across 2 related markets
- This trade put $10.8k on No at 88¢, a high-conviction position on a major geopolitics market
- The wallet is 2-for-2 so far and already up about $10.6k, though the track record is still very early
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected April 19, 2026 at 5:33 AM