19-wallet funded cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A large linked-wallet cluster with profitable cross-market history just piled into No across several related US-Iran markets, helping drive a sharp price move in a liquid news-sensitive market.
Total
$7,181
Trades
3
Analysis
- 19 linked wallets share the same funder, and 3 of them just put $7.2k on the same side here.
- One wallet in the group wins 71% of its resolved bets and this funded cluster has traded 150 markets across 82 events.
- They leaned No as the market swung hard in minutes, with Yes dropping from about 41¢ to 48¢ odds against it.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 49¢
Detected April 20, 2026 at 5:28 PM