7-wallet geopolitical pile-in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Seven experienced wallets piled into No at the same time and helped push the market sharply to 71%, making this coordinated geopolitical flow worth watching despite the market already moving fast.
Total
$18,071
Trades
8
Analysis
- Seven wallets all bet No within minutes, putting in $18.1k and driving a roughly 25-point move toward No
- Several of the wallets have strong track records, including one at 98% wins and another at 86%, with multiple six-figure lifetime profits
- Most of the buys came between 45¢ and 64¢, well below the current 71¢ price, showing they moved early before the repricing
Copy Trade
Buy No at 56¢
Detected April 20, 2026 at 2:20 PM