Event

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

1 signal across 1 market · $25,735 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks the average daily number of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz at the end of May 2026, based on IMF Portwatch’s 7-day moving average for May 31. Traders are pricing whether reported transit calls fall in the listed bracket, with PolySpotter tracking $25,735 in smart-money activity and a recent whale-driven breakout in a thin market.

Markets (1)

  1. Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?1 signal · $25,735 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Whale drives thin-market breakout

    A very large Yes buy on a thin Strait of Hormuz transit market dwarfed recent volume and helped extend a major upside breakout, though the wallet's long-term record is not strong.

    $25,735Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 3.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xc8ab976418$25,735 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Strait of Hormuz ship transits at the end of May?

This event reflects Polymarket pricing on the reported 7-day moving average of ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz on May 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the market odds alongside smart-money flows and whale activity.

What is the smart money doing in this Hormuz transit market?

PolySpotter has tracked $25,735 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent signal. The latest alert noted a whale driving a breakout in a thin market, meaning a large trader may have had an outsized impact on price action.

What outcome is being traded in this event?

The child market shown for this event asks whether the 7-day average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz will be between 0 and 10 on May 31. The final result depends on IMF Portwatch’s reported “Arrivals of Ships” data.

When does the Strait of Hormuz transit market resolve?

The market is scheduled around May 31, 2026, and resolves once IMF Portwatch publishes the relevant data for that date. If a reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the rules say it resolves to the higher range bracket.