Berlin State Election Winner
9 signals across 3 markets · $28,691 tracked · resolves Sep 20, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election winner, focused on whether Die Linke will win the most seats. PolySpotter has tracked $9,428 in smart money activity, with a recent profitable whale buying NO on Linke’s chances.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 85% winner buys NO
A highly profitable political bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought No, and the price has already moved in their favor.
$1,434Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.6 - 93% win-rate serial trader buys No
A highly proven serial trader with a 93% win rate and $1.02M profit is taking a substantial No position at 78%.
$3,648Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - 93% win-rate serial trader buys No
A highly proven serial trader with a 93% win rate and $1.02M profit is taking a substantial No position at 78%.
$5,536Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Proven serial trader buys Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate made a fresh $2,584 purchase at 48¢ in a relatively thin Berlin election market.
$2,584Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - 93% win-rate serial trader buys No
A highly proven serial trader with a 93% win rate and $1.02M profit is taking a substantial No position at 78%.
$1,085Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A proven sharp bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Yes position on a market already moving upward.
$1,364Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.4 - Profitable whale buying NO
A profitable high-volume wallet put $9.4k on No in a relatively quiet political market, and the price has already moved sharply in their favor.
$9,428Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 4.0 - Quiet-market No breakout
A moderately large No buy in a quiet Berlin election market drove a major breakout, but the wallet’s track record is only mildly supportive.
$2,190Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 0.7 - 94% win-rate political bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.34M profit is making a fresh $1,421 bet on No in a liquid Berlin election market.
$1,421Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf55927…f462$10,270 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x511f9c…cbe1$9,428 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$4,018 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0xf797d4…0bf2$2,190 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$1,421 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xe3f2ec…e1c1$1,364 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
FAQs
What are the Berlin State Election Winner odds on Polymarket?
The event reflects prediction market pricing for the 2026 Berlin state election, currently centered on whether Linke will win the most seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Odds can move as polls, campaign news, and trader positioning change.
What is the smart money doing in this Berlin election market?
PolySpotter has tracked $9,428 in smart money across this event. The latest notable signal was a profitable whale buying NO on Linke winning the most seats.
What outcome does this Berlin election prediction market cover?
The event is about which party wins the greatest number of seats in Berlin’s Abgeordnetenhaus after the 2026 state election. The active child market asks whether Linke will be that party.
When does the Berlin State Election Winner market resolve?
The market is tied to the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026. If the election does not occur by December 31, 2026, the event rules state it resolves to Other.
Why follow this event on PolySpotter?
PolySpotter highlights prediction market odds alongside smart money alerts, making it easier to see when experienced or profitable traders are taking positions on the Berlin election outcome.