Part of: Berlin State Election Winner

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

This market tracks whether Linke will win the greatest number of seats in Berlin’s 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, scheduled for September 20, 2026. PolySpotter shows live Polymarket odds for this outcome alongside smart money activity, including $9,428 tracked and a recent profitable whale signal buying NO.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $9,428.

Categories: Global Elections, Politics, Elections, Germany, World Elections, World, German Elections, Main Election

Notable Trades

Profitable whale buying NO

A profitable high-volume wallet put $9.4k on No in a relatively quiet political market, and the price has already moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor is up about $629k lifetime across 3,972 resolved markets.
  • They put $9.4k on No, a large trade for this quiet market.
  • No has moved from their ~81¢ entry to 92¢, so the trade has already been validated by price action.

$9,428 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $36,195
  2. 0x94c4...43ca Yes, $9,288 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xacea...8b97 Yes, $6,996 (82% win rate)
  4. 0xe3f2...e1c1 Yes, $4,067 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x6261...7ce4 Yes, $2,751
  6. 0xb93e...195e Yes, $2,740
  7. 0x7e35...1a6c Yes, $1,188 (46% win rate)
  8. 0x225c...40dc Yes, $1,129
  9. 0xc160...ce0a Yes, $804
  10. 0xeca0...e8f8 Yes, $750 (51% win rate)

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Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

62dBerlin State Election Winner$9,428 tracked1 signalGlobal ElectionsPoliticsElectionsGermanyWorld ElectionsWorldGerman ElectionsMain Election
Yes
36¢
No
65¢

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

Price History — “No
69¢
66¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

20d ago

$9,428 on No at 81¢

81¢65¢16¢

Related Theses