Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
7 signals across 2 markets · $54,994 tracked · resolves Oct 26, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Flávio Bolsonaro will receive the most valid votes in Amapá in Brazil’s October 25, 2026 presidential runoff. PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal: a serial trader added to a large Yes position.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet No re-entry
Three wallets simultaneously reopened No positions with $5,147 in buys, reinforcing prior No exposure on a liquid election market.
$4,766Score: 5.9 - Profitable serial trader adds to Yes
A profitable, high-volume trader added about $18.2K to an existing Yes position during a sharp volume spike, making this a notable conviction trade despite limited evidence that the win rate beats typical entry odds.
$18,197Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.5 - Profitable serial trader adds to Yes
A highly profitable, high-volume trader with a 90% record is adding a sizable Yes position in a thinly traded market despite the odds having recently fallen.
$10,788Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 81% record bought Yes at 30¢, and the market has since risen to 40¢.
$3,015Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.0 - Profitable bettor scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with 86% wins on 37 resolved trades and strong returns is adding $6,900 to an existing Yes position.
$6,900Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.7 - Serial trader adds to large Yes position
A highly experienced trader added $8.6k to an existing Yes position, a purchase over four times the market’s 24-hour volume, though their 90% win rate is only modestly above their average winning entry price.
$8,568Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.6 - Profitable bettor scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with 86% wins on 37 resolved trades and strong returns is adding $6,900 to an existing Yes position.
$2,760Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x7f9e2d…3a0e$28,984 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x2f9da7…deb3$9,660 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x88c491…129a$8,568 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$3,015 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Flávio Bolsonaro in Amapá?
The event covers the market asking whether Flávio Bolsonaro will win the most valid votes in Amapá’s runoff. Check the live market page for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing in this Amapá election market?
PolySpotter recorded one signal: a serial trader added to a large Yes position on Flávio Bolsonaro winning the most votes. This shows reported trading activity, not a guarantee of the result.
When does the Amapá presidential runoff market resolve?
The runoff is scheduled for October 25, 2026. The market is listed to resolve by October 26, 2026 at 03:59 UTC, based on the valid votes received in Amapá.
What outcome does this prediction market cover?
It covers one outcome: whether Flávio Bolsonaro receives more valid votes than any other candidate in the second round of Brazil’s presidential election in Amapá.